Monday 5 January
Nothing much to report today, with even the all weather card at Wolverhampton failing to beat the freeze up.
Just three horses, with nothing doing - although if I were doing each way I'd be tearing my hair out as there were two more 4th places today !!
Overstaked one of the bets today which cost me a fiver. Should stake £65 on 9/1 chances, but put £70 on it without thinking.
Bets Advised
The Form Analyst
Magic Glade 0.5 pts e/w @ 14/1 - LOST (SP 16/1)
Tipping Legends
Halsion Challenge 0.5 pts e/w @ 8/1 - 4TH (SP 11/2)
Simpsons Gamble 0.5 pts e/w @ 9/1 - 4TH (SP 8/1)
Bets Placed
Magic Glade £42 win @ 14/1......................(42)
Halsion Challenge £70 win @ 8/1.................(70)
Simpsons Gamble £70 win @ 9/1...................(70)
Loss on day £182
Monday, 5 January 2009
Sunday, 4 January 2009
Weekly Profit and Loss - w/e 04/01/09
As promised, here's the first profit and loss summary for the new year.
Profit and Loss w/e 04/01/09
Loss on week £288
Loss year to date £288
Results by service (per my staking plan)
Maths - Account Bets.....................0
Maths - Selections....................(190)
Maths Bad Horses (Lay)...................0
The Form Analyst......................(118)
Optimum Racing...........................0
SLH - Private............................0
SLH - Premium (Lay)......................0
SLH - A/W.............................(450)
Tipping Legends........................470
Personal Betting / Trading...............0
TOTAL.................................(288)
I am also going to do a weekly profit and loss showing the advised stakes and prices of each selection, this is set out below with explanations where necessary.
I will show the weekly p&l in terms of points and also attach a value to it by using my previous staking plan. Trying not to make it unduly complicated - see below......
Mathematician
Account bets are either staked at £100 or £50 by maths.
His "selections" are not staked but they are bets he recommends which are not strong enough to be account bets.
I will show these seperately and apply my old staking plan which was account bets at £100-£200, and selections at £50.
Call it £50 per point.
Maths (Bad Horses)
No stakes advised on these, but will lay to lose £100.
The Form Analyst
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 5 points. Staked £50 / point previously.
Optimum Racing
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 10 points. Previous staking plan £25 per point.
SLH Private
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 10 points. Previous staking plan £25 per point.
SLH Premium (Lay)
These are recommended lay bets on short priced favourites, and I will be laying these to lose £100 (same as on my old plan)
SLH A/W
No advised points on this service so will settle at level stakes (1pt win or 0.5 pts each way). Previously I used £100 win / £50 each way on my old plan.
Tipping Legends
Bets advised up to a maximum of 3pts win. My old stakes were £50 / point.
Results to advised stakes / prices
(prices used are prices achieved unless stated)
Maths - Account Bets.....................0
Maths - Selections....................(150) (-3 pts)
Maths Bad Horses (Lay)...................0
The Form Analyst.......................(90) (-1.8 pts)
Optimum Racing...........................0
SLH - Private............................0
SLH - Premium (Lay)......................0
SLH - A/W.............................(390) (-3.9 pts)
Tipping Legends........................440 (+8.8 pts)
Personal Betting / Trading...............0
TOTAL.................................(190)
Profit and Loss w/e 04/01/09
Loss on week £288
Loss year to date £288
Results by service (per my staking plan)
Maths - Account Bets.....................0
Maths - Selections....................(190)
Maths Bad Horses (Lay)...................0
The Form Analyst......................(118)
Optimum Racing...........................0
SLH - Private............................0
SLH - Premium (Lay)......................0
SLH - A/W.............................(450)
Tipping Legends........................470
Personal Betting / Trading...............0
TOTAL.................................(288)
I am also going to do a weekly profit and loss showing the advised stakes and prices of each selection, this is set out below with explanations where necessary.
I will show the weekly p&l in terms of points and also attach a value to it by using my previous staking plan. Trying not to make it unduly complicated - see below......
Mathematician
Account bets are either staked at £100 or £50 by maths.
His "selections" are not staked but they are bets he recommends which are not strong enough to be account bets.
I will show these seperately and apply my old staking plan which was account bets at £100-£200, and selections at £50.
Call it £50 per point.
Maths (Bad Horses)
No stakes advised on these, but will lay to lose £100.
The Form Analyst
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 5 points. Staked £50 / point previously.
Optimum Racing
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 10 points. Previous staking plan £25 per point.
SLH Private
Bets advised win or each way up to a maximum of 10 points. Previous staking plan £25 per point.
SLH Premium (Lay)
These are recommended lay bets on short priced favourites, and I will be laying these to lose £100 (same as on my old plan)
SLH A/W
No advised points on this service so will settle at level stakes (1pt win or 0.5 pts each way). Previously I used £100 win / £50 each way on my old plan.
Tipping Legends
Bets advised up to a maximum of 3pts win. My old stakes were £50 / point.
Results to advised stakes / prices
(prices used are prices achieved unless stated)
Maths - Account Bets.....................0
Maths - Selections....................(150) (-3 pts)
Maths Bad Horses (Lay)...................0
The Form Analyst.......................(90) (-1.8 pts)
Optimum Racing...........................0
SLH - Private............................0
SLH - Premium (Lay)......................0
SLH - A/W.............................(390) (-3.9 pts)
Tipping Legends........................440 (+8.8 pts)
Personal Betting / Trading...............0
TOTAL.................................(190)
Grrrrrrr.....
Sunday 4 January
One of those days which would drive you mad if you let it.
Four horses advised, three of them finish second - one beaten a nose (traded at 1.01) and another beaten a head (traded at 1.05).
Added to that I'm back to work tomorrow for the first time in nearly 3 weeks. Not looking forward to it one little bit, alarm set for 7 which is about 5 hours earlier than I've been getting up lately. No doubt won't sleep too well and feel like shit when I get up and spend all day walking round like a brain dead zombie - at least I'll be in good company !
Plus I've not had a cigarette for four days now so I'm not good to be around today !!
Bets Advised
The Form Analyst
Rock Anthem 1.5 pts e/w @ 4/1 - 2ND (SP 7/2) beaten a nose, caught on line - traded 1.01 in running
SLH A/W
Cap St Jean e/w @ 11/2 minimum - 2ND (SP 6/1) beaten a head, just failed to get up - traded 1.05 in running
Mathematician
Selection - Fortunella @ 6/1, saver on Oberlin @ 7/1 - 2ND (SP 9/2) / LOST (SP 9/2)
Bets Placed
Rock Anthem £100 win @ 4/1................(100)
Cap St Jean £80 win @ 6/1..................(80)
Fortunella £80 win @ 6/1...................(80)
Oberlin £70 win @ 7/1......................(70)
Loss on day £330
One of those days which would drive you mad if you let it.
Four horses advised, three of them finish second - one beaten a nose (traded at 1.01) and another beaten a head (traded at 1.05).
Added to that I'm back to work tomorrow for the first time in nearly 3 weeks. Not looking forward to it one little bit, alarm set for 7 which is about 5 hours earlier than I've been getting up lately. No doubt won't sleep too well and feel like shit when I get up and spend all day walking round like a brain dead zombie - at least I'll be in good company !
Plus I've not had a cigarette for four days now so I'm not good to be around today !!
Bets Advised
The Form Analyst
Rock Anthem 1.5 pts e/w @ 4/1 - 2ND (SP 7/2) beaten a nose, caught on line - traded 1.01 in running
SLH A/W
Cap St Jean e/w @ 11/2 minimum - 2ND (SP 6/1) beaten a head, just failed to get up - traded 1.05 in running
Mathematician
Selection - Fortunella @ 6/1, saver on Oberlin @ 7/1 - 2ND (SP 9/2) / LOST (SP 9/2)
Bets Placed
Rock Anthem £100 win @ 4/1................(100)
Cap St Jean £80 win @ 6/1..................(80)
Fortunella £80 win @ 6/1...................(80)
Oberlin £70 win @ 7/1......................(70)
Loss on day £330
Saturday, 3 January 2009
The Curse of Each Way Betting
Saturday 3 January
Wasn't expecting too much action today once three jumps meetings failed to beat the freeze. However there were seven tips between three of my services, producing one winner and 4 fourth places which were advised each way 1/2/3 !! Happened to me so many times last year, so again feel vindicated in my decision to switch to backing win only.
Won £7.50 today, which won't exactly change my life, but on a very uninspiring day I'll take anything positive. Didn't bother with the football today. Not too keen on betting on the FA Cup these days, and with matches being called off throughout the morning I decided to pass.
Bets Advised
The Form Analyst
Pegasus Again 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/2 - WON (SP 7/1)
Muktasb 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/2 - 4TH (SP 4/1)
Forest Dane 1pt win @ 6/1 - LOST (SP 11/2)
Mind Alert 0.5 pts e/w @ 15/2 - 4TH (SP 9/1)
Tipping Legends
Muktasb 1pt e/w @ 11/2 - 4TH (SP 4/1)
SLH A/W
Whistledown win bet at 3/1 - LOST (SP 3/1)
Pevensey e/w bet at 7/1 - 4TH (SP 8/1)
Bets Placed
Pegasus Again £75 win @ 13/2..............487
Muktasb £80 win @ 11/2....................(80)
Forest Dane £80 win @ 11/2................(80)
Mind Alert £70 win @ 7/1..................(70)
Muktasb £80 win @ 11/2....................(80)
Whistledown £100 win @ 3/1...............(100)
Pevensey £70 win @ 7/1....................(70)
Profit on day £7
Wasn't expecting too much action today once three jumps meetings failed to beat the freeze. However there were seven tips between three of my services, producing one winner and 4 fourth places which were advised each way 1/2/3 !! Happened to me so many times last year, so again feel vindicated in my decision to switch to backing win only.
Won £7.50 today, which won't exactly change my life, but on a very uninspiring day I'll take anything positive. Didn't bother with the football today. Not too keen on betting on the FA Cup these days, and with matches being called off throughout the morning I decided to pass.
Bets Advised
The Form Analyst
Pegasus Again 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/2 - WON (SP 7/1)
Muktasb 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/2 - 4TH (SP 4/1)
Forest Dane 1pt win @ 6/1 - LOST (SP 11/2)
Mind Alert 0.5 pts e/w @ 15/2 - 4TH (SP 9/1)
Tipping Legends
Muktasb 1pt e/w @ 11/2 - 4TH (SP 4/1)
SLH A/W
Whistledown win bet at 3/1 - LOST (SP 3/1)
Pevensey e/w bet at 7/1 - 4TH (SP 8/1)
Bets Placed
Pegasus Again £75 win @ 13/2..............487
Muktasb £80 win @ 11/2....................(80)
Forest Dane £80 win @ 11/2................(80)
Mind Alert £70 win @ 7/1..................(70)
Muktasb £80 win @ 11/2....................(80)
Whistledown £100 win @ 3/1...............(100)
Pevensey £70 win @ 7/1....................(70)
Profit on day £7
Friday, 2 January 2009
Nothing Doing Today
Friday 2 January
Four bets given out today, but nothing to come from any of them - indeed never looked like collecting anything.
Hoping for something better this weekend, assuming that most of the racing goes ahead.
Bets Advised
Tipping Legends
Exclusionist 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - LOST (SP 7/1)
The Form Analyst
Boundless Prospect 2pts win @ 5/2 - 3RD (SP 5/2)
Mathematician
Selection - Restart e/w @ 20/1 - 25/1 - LOST (SP 12/1)
SLH A/W
Distinctly Game - win bet at min 7/2 - LOST (SP 11/4)
Bets Placed
Exclusionist £50 win @ 12/1...................(50)
Boundless Prospect £120 win @ 5/2............(120)
Restart £40 @ 16/1 (slept in again !!)........(40)
Distinctly Game £100 win @ 7/2...............(100)
Loss on day £310
Four bets given out today, but nothing to come from any of them - indeed never looked like collecting anything.
Hoping for something better this weekend, assuming that most of the racing goes ahead.
Bets Advised
Tipping Legends
Exclusionist 1pt e/w @ 12/1 - LOST (SP 7/1)
The Form Analyst
Boundless Prospect 2pts win @ 5/2 - 3RD (SP 5/2)
Mathematician
Selection - Restart e/w @ 20/1 - 25/1 - LOST (SP 12/1)
SLH A/W
Distinctly Game - win bet at min 7/2 - LOST (SP 11/4)
Bets Placed
Exclusionist £50 win @ 12/1...................(50)
Boundless Prospect £120 win @ 5/2............(120)
Restart £40 @ 16/1 (slept in again !!)........(40)
Distinctly Game £100 win @ 7/2...............(100)
Loss on day £310
Thursday, 1 January 2009
33/1 Winner !!!
Thursday 1 January
Was getting ready to write a post about a dismal start to the New Year, when out of the blue, in the last race of the day Daring Origyn romped home in the bumper at 20/1. Tipping Legends advised a half point each way bet at 33/1 and luckily I fell out of bed in time to get the best of the prices.
Bets Advised
SLH A/W
Matsunosuke win bet at 4/1 - LOST (SP 7/2)
The Form Analyst
Pennek 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/1 - 3RD (SP 8/1)
Majuro 1pt win @ 3/1 - 2ND (SP 2/1)
Tipping Legends
Call Me A Legend 0.5pts e/w @ 8/1 - LOST (SP 6/1)
Top Ram 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)
Nornoreast 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)
Oslot 0.5pts e/w @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 9/1)
Ballydub 2pts win @ 9/4 - LOST (SP 15/8)
Aohna 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1 - LOST (SP 20/1)
Daring Origyn 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 - WON (SP 20/1)
Bets Placed
Matsunosuke £100 win @ 4/1.....................(100)
Pennek £55 win @ 11/1...........................(55)
Majuro £100 win @ 3/1..........................(100)
Call Me A Legend £70 win @ 8/1..................(70)
Top Ram £40 win @ 16/1..........................(40)
Nornoreast £40 win @ 16/1.......................(40)
Oslot £60 win @ 10/1............................(60)
Ballydub £140 win @ 9/4........................(140)
Aohna £40 win @ 20/1............................(40)
Daring Origyn £30 win @ 33/1....................990
Profit on day £345
Was getting ready to write a post about a dismal start to the New Year, when out of the blue, in the last race of the day Daring Origyn romped home in the bumper at 20/1. Tipping Legends advised a half point each way bet at 33/1 and luckily I fell out of bed in time to get the best of the prices.
Bets Advised
SLH A/W
Matsunosuke win bet at 4/1 - LOST (SP 7/2)
The Form Analyst
Pennek 0.5 pts e/w @ 11/1 - 3RD (SP 8/1)
Majuro 1pt win @ 3/1 - 2ND (SP 2/1)
Tipping Legends
Call Me A Legend 0.5pts e/w @ 8/1 - LOST (SP 6/1)
Top Ram 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)
Nornoreast 0.5pts e/w @ 16/1 - LOST (SP 14/1)
Oslot 0.5pts e/w @ 9/1 - LOST (SP 9/1)
Ballydub 2pts win @ 9/4 - LOST (SP 15/8)
Aohna 0.5pts e/w @ 20/1 - LOST (SP 20/1)
Daring Origyn 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1 - WON (SP 20/1)
Bets Placed
Matsunosuke £100 win @ 4/1.....................(100)
Pennek £55 win @ 11/1...........................(55)
Majuro £100 win @ 3/1..........................(100)
Call Me A Legend £70 win @ 8/1..................(70)
Top Ram £40 win @ 16/1..........................(40)
Nornoreast £40 win @ 16/1.......................(40)
Oslot £60 win @ 10/1............................(60)
Ballydub £140 win @ 9/4........................(140)
Aohna £40 win @ 20/1............................(40)
Daring Origyn £30 win @ 33/1....................990
Profit on day £345
A Day of Reckoning
Time to look at how everything adds up for the last year or so in terms of profits, subscriptions, missed opportunities, fuck ups etc.
I started this blog on 1 October 2007, although I started following the advices of my initial tipsters a few days before this.
My original subscriptions were as follows:-
Isiris £1695 (23/09/07) until 31/12/2008
Mark Holder £897 (24/09/07) for 6 months
Henry Rix £999 (23/09/07) for 6 months
Steve Lewis Hamilton £725 (24/09/07) until 01/05/08
Mathematician £49.99 per month (so 3 months - £150)
Optimum Racing £197 (3 month trial to 31/01/08)
Paul Jones NH / Cheltenham ante-post service £195 (this is the 08/09 price, can't find a record of what I paid last year but it was roughly the same I think.
Total paid £4,858
Between 23/09/07 and 31/12/2007 I made a profit of £5,271. Effectively paying for the subs to that point.
My experiences with the services are all detailed throughout the blog, but due to disappointing results I dispensed with the services of Mark Holder and Henry Rix after the initial six months.
Was looking for other services to increase my portfolio and so boost the profits. Received an invitation to join Blue Sky Racing for an initial six month subscription, but if you read the blog back this was an unmitigated disaster for me and I gave up once the losses reached over £3,000.
Made a much better decision to join the Tipping Legends horses and golf services and have made excellent profits following their advice since the summer.
Finally, the last service I got involved with was The Form Analyst, Graeme Dand. This is a brand new service and I'm sure Graeme won't mind me saying it's very much a work in progress. However, in the short time I've been with him it's clear that Graeme is indeed a great form student, and he will produce great returns for his subscribers.
Subs paid 2008
Blue Sky Racing £500 (25/04/08) for 6 months
Tipping Legends £555 01/06/08 for 6 months
Tipping Legends £1275 - year to 30/11/09
Mathematician £49.99 per month (£600 for year)
Steve Lewis Hamilton £1,100 - year to 01/05/09
Graeme Dand £95 for 3 months to 15/01/09
Optimum Racing £1,197 - year to 30/06/09
Paul Jones Cheltenham Service £ 195
Total subs paid in 2008 £5,517.
In summary then, since September 2007 I've made a profit of £27,021 and paid subscriptions of £10,375 !! This gives a net profit of £16,646. In addition there are the extra costs of making the phone calls - say £40/month so another £500 or so to come off there.
Obviously I've spent a huge amount on subscriptions, partly due to trying to find the best services for me and I'm now very happy with the ones I have now.
If I could have anticipated the results I wouldn't have joined Mark Holder, Henry Rix or Blue Sky Racing. I would have saved £2,396 in subs and £3,302 in losses (ie these three cost me £5,698 !!!). However that's all academic and those are the results.
Also, I did miss out on extra profits by missing winners through various circumstances - but all my own fault. Two consecutive Mondays in November stick out - missed 4 winners while I was in hospital getting checked out after my motorbike crash, and then the following week I totally forgot to ring SLH's line and missed out on a 16/1 double - over £2000 went begging on those two days alone.
Another thing which has held me back I think has been buggering around with the staking plan. Obviously all the services use different levels of points or units, and recommended betting banks and it was causing me problems trying to amalgamate them all into a plan which worked. Finally worked a plan out in November which seems to sit very well with how I want to play the game, in terms of staking and betting style - each way betting has largely been binned except for advised each way doubles and the golf bets.
Isiris has now closed down, it may re-open from March 1st and KB will write to us in February to confirm whether he is coming back or not. If he does, then I will re-subscribe.
Overall then, I think a very satisfactory year in 2008. Made some bad decisions and some stupid mistakes, but given the services continue to provide similar results in 2009 then things are looking very good indeed.
Subs I need to pay in 2009 will be around £5,000 if Isiris don't come back, I guess another £1500 if they do. Most of my subs are paid well into the New Year, and I may time my renewals so they all end on 31 December if I can ...doesn't really matter but if I do go down that route, then I will spend less than forecast.
Target for 2009 then from the tipsters - a profit of £30,000 before accounting for subs so I would like to clear £25,000 this year. It's a tall order but I think the last few months have shown what is possible, and I'm confident that I can achieve it.
Would like to make additional profits from sports betting, price trading and poker. Not got anything in mind in terms of a target as yet, just keep disciplined and work hard at it and see how it goes.
Think I've covered everything there, but if you have any comments or questions then ask away.
I started this blog on 1 October 2007, although I started following the advices of my initial tipsters a few days before this.
My original subscriptions were as follows:-
Isiris £1695 (23/09/07) until 31/12/2008
Mark Holder £897 (24/09/07) for 6 months
Henry Rix £999 (23/09/07) for 6 months
Steve Lewis Hamilton £725 (24/09/07) until 01/05/08
Mathematician £49.99 per month (so 3 months - £150)
Optimum Racing £197 (3 month trial to 31/01/08)
Paul Jones NH / Cheltenham ante-post service £195 (this is the 08/09 price, can't find a record of what I paid last year but it was roughly the same I think.
Total paid £4,858
Between 23/09/07 and 31/12/2007 I made a profit of £5,271. Effectively paying for the subs to that point.
My experiences with the services are all detailed throughout the blog, but due to disappointing results I dispensed with the services of Mark Holder and Henry Rix after the initial six months.
Was looking for other services to increase my portfolio and so boost the profits. Received an invitation to join Blue Sky Racing for an initial six month subscription, but if you read the blog back this was an unmitigated disaster for me and I gave up once the losses reached over £3,000.
Made a much better decision to join the Tipping Legends horses and golf services and have made excellent profits following their advice since the summer.
Finally, the last service I got involved with was The Form Analyst, Graeme Dand. This is a brand new service and I'm sure Graeme won't mind me saying it's very much a work in progress. However, in the short time I've been with him it's clear that Graeme is indeed a great form student, and he will produce great returns for his subscribers.
Subs paid 2008
Blue Sky Racing £500 (25/04/08) for 6 months
Tipping Legends £555 01/06/08 for 6 months
Tipping Legends £1275 - year to 30/11/09
Mathematician £49.99 per month (£600 for year)
Steve Lewis Hamilton £1,100 - year to 01/05/09
Graeme Dand £95 for 3 months to 15/01/09
Optimum Racing £1,197 - year to 30/06/09
Paul Jones Cheltenham Service £ 195
Total subs paid in 2008 £5,517.
In summary then, since September 2007 I've made a profit of £27,021 and paid subscriptions of £10,375 !! This gives a net profit of £16,646. In addition there are the extra costs of making the phone calls - say £40/month so another £500 or so to come off there.
Obviously I've spent a huge amount on subscriptions, partly due to trying to find the best services for me and I'm now very happy with the ones I have now.
If I could have anticipated the results I wouldn't have joined Mark Holder, Henry Rix or Blue Sky Racing. I would have saved £2,396 in subs and £3,302 in losses (ie these three cost me £5,698 !!!). However that's all academic and those are the results.
Also, I did miss out on extra profits by missing winners through various circumstances - but all my own fault. Two consecutive Mondays in November stick out - missed 4 winners while I was in hospital getting checked out after my motorbike crash, and then the following week I totally forgot to ring SLH's line and missed out on a 16/1 double - over £2000 went begging on those two days alone.
Another thing which has held me back I think has been buggering around with the staking plan. Obviously all the services use different levels of points or units, and recommended betting banks and it was causing me problems trying to amalgamate them all into a plan which worked. Finally worked a plan out in November which seems to sit very well with how I want to play the game, in terms of staking and betting style - each way betting has largely been binned except for advised each way doubles and the golf bets.
Isiris has now closed down, it may re-open from March 1st and KB will write to us in February to confirm whether he is coming back or not. If he does, then I will re-subscribe.
Overall then, I think a very satisfactory year in 2008. Made some bad decisions and some stupid mistakes, but given the services continue to provide similar results in 2009 then things are looking very good indeed.
Subs I need to pay in 2009 will be around £5,000 if Isiris don't come back, I guess another £1500 if they do. Most of my subs are paid well into the New Year, and I may time my renewals so they all end on 31 December if I can ...doesn't really matter but if I do go down that route, then I will spend less than forecast.
Target for 2009 then from the tipsters - a profit of £30,000 before accounting for subs so I would like to clear £25,000 this year. It's a tall order but I think the last few months have shown what is possible, and I'm confident that I can achieve it.
Would like to make additional profits from sports betting, price trading and poker. Not got anything in mind in terms of a target as yet, just keep disciplined and work hard at it and see how it goes.
Think I've covered everything there, but if you have any comments or questions then ask away.
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